tests/scenario/test_etf_sleeve_decision_scenarios.py:141: in test_failure_day_confluence_never_catastrophic
    assert leg == RELEASE_CRITERIA["down_regime_failure_day_leg"], (
E   AssertionError: 2026-03-18: expected CASH on a conf=1 down regime, got leg='bear' (conf-short-firm)
E   assert 'bear' == None